Articles:
How Financial Models Could Move Bitcoin’s Price After the Halving
Stock Market Crashes: Predictable and Unpredictable and What to Do About Them
Believe the Neuralink Hype—It’s Important for Technological Innovation
Papers
Boom, Bust, and Bitcoin: Bitcoin-Bubbles As Innovation Accelerators
Manias and Mimesis: Applying René Girard’s Mimetic Theory to Financial Bubbles
‘Salvation and Profit’: Deconstructing the Clean-Tech Bubble
Talks
Bubbles: Insane, Irresponsible, or a Secret Third Thing? (Founders Fund Hereticon Conference, Miami, October 30, 2024)
‘Things Hidden’: Mimesis, Technology, and the Apocalypse (2023 Novitate Conference—New Models of Thought and Desire: René Girard Centennial Celebration, The Catholic University of America, Washington, D.C, November 3, 2023)
‘Only a God Can Save Us’: Technology As Salvation (Private Event, El Salvador, September 2023)
Definite Optimism, Social Bubbles, and Technological Innovation (Progress Studies Meetup, New York City, February 11, 2020)
Decoding Bitcoin's Value: Money, Technological Innovation, and Self-Sovereignty (Blockchain and Our Societies–An Ethical Appraisal, Trust Square Zurich, March 1, 2019)
The Bitcoin Standard: The Decentralized Alternative to Central Banking—with Saifedean Ammous (ETH Zurich, May 24, 2018)
Financial Bubbles As Innovation Accelerators (Institute for New Economic Thinking Conference on Innovation, Institutions and Governance, Tallinn University of Technology, September 19, 2017)
Inaugural Workshop and Panel Discussion on Financial Bubbles and Technological Innovation—with Didier Sornette (Center for Information and Bubbles Studies, University of Copenhagen, February 10, 2017)
The Future of Complexity Economics (Institute for New Economic Thinking Plenary 2016—with J. Doyne Farmer, Central European University, Budapest, October 19-22, 2016)
The Physics of Finance? Econophysics and Financial Market Reflexivity (The Physics of Society: Philosophy of Econophysics and Complex Social Systems, Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität Munich, July 23, 2016)
Quantifying Reflexivity in Financial Markets (Complexity and Economics Workshop, Fields Institute for Research in Mathematical Sciences, Toronto, April 28, 2016)
Modeling Financial Market Crashes: Phase Transitions, Universality, and Criticality (Causality and Modeling in the Sciences, UNED, Madrid, June 29, 2015)
Can We Predict Financial Markets? Black Swans vs. Dragon Kings (Philosophy of Social Science Roundtable 2015, University of Washington, May 8, 2015)
PodcastsBig Ideas Podcast on the Future of AI and the Existential Risk of Safetyism
Press
“Bubbling Up” (Arena Mag, November 19, 2024)
“‘Boom’ Review: A Race for the Right Idea” (Wall Street Journal, November 15, 2024)
“Bitcoin Network Researchers See ‘Substantial’ Overvaluation” (Bloomberg, April 2, 2018)
“Bitcoin's market value should fall by more than a third before year-end, Swiss researchers say” (CNBC, April 2, 2018)
“How network theory predicts the value of Bitcoin” MIT Technology Review (March 29, 2018)